table of contents

August 2007         

 

Second-quarter construction activity holds steady; has housing market downturn finally bottomed out?

Construction activity in Volusia County held relatively steady last quarter, nearly matching the pace of construction activity the previous quarter, according to the latest figures released by the Volusia County Department of Economic Development.

The number of building permits issued in the county for residential and commercial projects totaled 620 in the second quarter of 2007. This compares with the 640 permits issued the previous quarter. This marks an improvement from the fourth quarter of 2006 when 492 permits for new construction projects were issued countywide.

The latest numbers, collected from the county and city building permit offices, offer evidence the local housing market downturn that began 18 months ago may have bottomed out.

For the second quarter in a row, the number of residential building permits issued in Volusia County exceeded the number issued the previous quarter, albeit just barely — 584, compared with 583 in the first quarter of 2007 and 456 in the fourth quarter of 2006.

The 2,994 residential building permits issued countywide last year declined more than 200 percent — down from the 6,856 permits issued countywide in 2005.


Retail construction along International
Speedway Boulevard in Daytona Beach.

The total value of the residential building permits issued in the county last year also fell sharply — $675.8 million, compared to the record $1.3 billion in permits issued for housing starts in 2005.

While residential construction activity in Volusia County nosedived last year, commercial construction activity soared. The number of permits issued climbed to 298, up from the 246 permits issued in 2005. The estimated combined worth of the commercial permits issued last year exceeded $311.7 million, up from $231 million in 2005.

Commercial construction activity declined in Volusia County in the second quarter of this year. The 36 permits issued compares to 57 permits issued in the first quarter. The estimated value of the commercial permits issued last quarter fell to $41.4 million, down from the $172.5 million combined value of commercial permits issued in the first three months of the year.

However, the drop in commercial construction activity might not be as steep as it appears.

Rick Michael, director of the county’s Economic Development Department, said the huge spike in commercial construction activity reported in Volusia County in the first quarter of the year was exaggerated because the figures erroneously included a large condominium project in Daytona Beach that should have been counted as a residential project.

But as the saying goes, all real estate is local.

This certainly holds true in Volusia County, where assessed home values in the western part of the county rose an average of 13.8 percent compared with year-ago assessed values, according to tax roll figures released in August by the county Property Appraiser’s Office.

West Volusia had the highest overall increase in assessed home values — up 15 percent from December 2005, followed by Deltona, up 14.4 percent, and Orange City up 13.2 percent.

Assessed home values on the east side of Volusia rose only 0.3 percent on average; some cities marking a decrease in overall assessed home values.

Volusia County Property Appraiser Morgan Gilreath said the recently released tax roll reflects assessed home values as of December 2006 and are not indicative of current home values, which appear to have continued to decline in general countywide so far this year.

While the volume of homes sold in Volusia County fell dramatically in 2006 Gilreath said market prices for homes in the southwest area of the county rose last year, compared with the previous year’s prices.

“We’re beginning to see evidence that sale prices are declining in some areas of southwest Volusia in 2007 ... the strongest market we had in 2006,” Gilreath said.

The outpacing of appreciation in assessed home values in west Volusia County, compared to east Volusia, largely has been the result of a continued increase in people moving there from the Orlando area, where home prices overall are higher, according to Michael.

“In the past five years, more than 34,000 individuals have moved to Volusia County from Seminole and Orange counties,” said Michael. The majority of those newcomers have chosen to live in west Volusia, with many continuing to work in the Orlando area. “That’s why our commuting numbers to Seminole and Orange counties have gone up.”

In the second quarter, permits for 122 housing starts were issued in unincorporated Volusia County, most in west Volusia, said Michael.

New Smyrna Beach issued the most permits for new home construction of any city in the county last quarter (128), followed by Daytona Beach (97), DeLand (77), Port Orange (66), and Deltona (52).

Daytona Beach issued the most commercial permits last quarter (11), followed by Orange City (five), Deltona and Ormond Beach (four each) and DeBary (three). Five commercial permits were issued last quarter in unincorporated Volusia County.

Several Volusia cities saw an increase in housing start activity last quarter, compared with the previous quarter, including New Smyrna Beach and DeLand.

Cities where the number of building permits issued for housing projects declined last quarter, compared with the previous quarter, included Daytona Beach, Port Orange and Deltona.

Gilreath said the slight increase in building permit activity for new homes in Volusia County in the first half of 2007 “is a function of what we likely will see six months to a year from now” when those homes are ready to be put on the market.

“From a long-term perspective, we’ve not seen the price of large acreage parcels for future subdivisions drop at all, which suggests the real estate development industry understands this (the current housing market downturn) is a short-term phenomenon,” said Gilreath. “They still are planning for the future.”


Department of Economic Development
700 Catalina Drive, Suite 200, Daytona Beach, FL 32114
Telephone:
386-248-8048   FAX: 386 238-4761   Toll Free: 800-554-3801

Richard Michael
Director

doed@volusia.org