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Third Quarter 2006         

 

Building permit activity in third quarter continues decline as market levels off

The red hot building boom of the last two years continued its year-long descent, according to third quarter building permit data collected from the county and city building permit offices by the Volusia County Department of Economic Development.
Building officials call this year a leveling off from 2004 and 2005, where records were
smashed for the number of home permits issued and the dollar value of new construction.

The downturn in the number of commercial and residential permits during the third quarter this year is an expected cyclical adjustment, according to Sue Darden, executive director of the Volusia Homebuilders Association.

“We are where we were three or four years ago, and those were really good years,” she said. “The boom years since that time have been based on a lot of investment.”

According to third quarter building activity reports, residential permits dropped in value from the second quarter’s $238.8 million to $144.4 million in the third quarter, a drop of 39 percent. Commercial activity fell to $54.1 million from the $71.3 million in permits issued during the second quarter this year, a decline of 24 percent.

Darden said local housing prices have stabilized after the increases of the past couple of years. “With higher land and labor costs, along with impact fees, there is not much wiggle room for builders.”

She also pointed out that some production builders are offering perks – one sure sign of a slowdown. “There have been layoffs. But it’s all part of the cycle. It will change again. I hear from our members they expect a pickup in the first quarter of 2007.”

Clay Ervin, planning director for Ormond Beach, said his city is looking for new opportunities in the residential market.

“We only have so much land available, and we are nearing build-out. That’s why we are looking to projects such as Ormond Crossing as a better opportunity for growth.”

Ormond Crossing, on both sides of I-95 and south of the FEC railroad tracks, is a mixed-use development that will feature 3,700 single family and multifamily units and 5.1 million square feet of industrial, office, warehouse, distribution and retail space.

“We are seeing the light at the end of the tunnel on the planning for this project,” Ervin said. “Hopefully, ground will be broken in the next year or so.”

A slowdown in the number of local residences built will translate into a corresponding decrease in retail use, and Volusia County’s commercial market still is playing catch up, according to market analysts.

“You will see the amount of new commercial and office development slow, and you also will see leases and new business startups slow,” Ervin predicted. “The critical question is ‘How slow will it get?’ But once we hit bottom, buying will start all over again. It’s the standard building cycle.”

In DeLand, residential permits increased from $24 million in the second quarter to $28 million in the third quarter. “We weren’t meeting our goals on permit issuance and our review times were taking too long, so we worked overtime and worked through a backlog,” said Building Official Dale Arrington. But she added there has been a slowdown in the residential market. “People are saying we probably will remain slow for a little while.”

Commercial projects in Ormond Beach include Root Commerce Park on U.S. 1, primarily an industrial space, and Ormond Commerce Park by Vanacore Development, also on U.S. 1.

Ervin said the Root Commerce Park project will be moving forward for development approval soon, while the first part of the Vanacore project is complete. A new retail
office center by Holub Development on Hand Avenue is nearing completion and will be open soon.

Commercial development also is vibrant in Port Orange, according to Planning Director Mike Disher. “We have seen a housing slowdown and a slight drop in building permits, but we have not seen a drop in terms of projects coming in for site development.”

Port Orange has experienced a building boom during the past eight years and the overall trend is still up, according to Disher. “We have 114 projects under review and construction.

This number fluctuates slightly from month to month, but it continues to increase.”
The city’s WalMart project could go to the planning commission in December and there are significant projects on the horizon.

Port Orange’s first development of regional impact, which developers are calling the Pavilion at Port Orange, will be west of I-95 and on the east side of Williamson Boulevard, Disher said. “This project would allow up to 550,000 square feet of retail space, developed as a combination lifestyle center and power strip center. This is an exciting project, because Port Orange doesn’t have a lot of shopping for a city our size. This center will be a relief for Port Orange residents, who no longer will have to drive to Daytona Beach to shop. They are talking about high-end restaurants and a movie theater.”

The Pavilion project developers are hoping for the first phase of development to be completed by 2008, according to Disher.--


Department of Economic Development
700 Catalina Drive, Suite 200, Daytona Beach, FL 32114
Telephone:
386-248-8048   FAX: 386 238-4761   Toll Free: 800-554-3801

Richard Michael
Director

doed@volusia.org